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Sunday 24 August 2014

浅谈 0023 IFCAMSC

IFCAMSC 是一家提供商务软件的公司。最主要的对象是房地产商。除了房地产商还包括商场,商业,度假村,酒店及休闲运动俱乐部。IFCAMSC 可说是一间提供商务软件于房地产商的行家。

公司成立于 1987年,IFCAMSC在亚洲和南非都设有办事处, 该公司拥有超过500名员工。

IFCAMSC 过去5年的业绩表现:

Year20092010201120122013
Financial Year End31/1231/1231/1231/1231/12
Revenue29.91M39.43M37.66M45.93M52M
PAT-5.9M-0.66M-2.85M3.28M1.65M
EPS (Sen)-2.01-0.16-0.480.600.30
DPS (Sen)-----


Year2014201420142014

Q1Q2Q3Q4
Revenue13.69M18.25M


PAT0.42M3M


EPS (Sen)0.090.67


DPS (Sen)-----


(Q1+Q2): 
Revenue: RM31.94M; 
PAT: RM3.42M, 
EPS(sen): 0.76sen


一个星期前,股阳以RM0.245 买入。上星期五以 RM0.275,RM0.270加码。现在买入平均价是RM0.255

股阳买入的原因:

1.IFCAMSC将受惠于马来西亚将于2015年4月1日实行的消费税,在今年3月12日,IFCAMSC是其中一家被关税局承认的GST兼容会计系统的供应http://www.ctim.org.my/file/news/517/02525_List%20of%20GST%20Accounting%20Software%20Company%20Approved%20by%20RMCD%20(120314).pdf



2.IFCAMSC 在马来西亚的客户群包括约70%的上市房地产开发商,如 SP Setia, IJM Land, Mahsing, Sime Darby Property, Eco World Development Group Berhad, Sunway Property。
IFCAMSC公司的客户还包括一些有在马来西亚依斯干达发展项目的外国发展商如Country Garden Holding Ltd, R&F properties Co Ltd 和 Singapore's Capitaland Ltd。


3.根据http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/first/299537-hotstock-investors-chase-ifca-shares-on-rising-prospects-fr.html至今年7月,IFCAMSC已经获取了RM53M的订单。

根据http://www.ifca.com.my/?news=ifca-msc-looking-beyond-gst-software 订单还会不断增长,因为近1000家客户里只有40-50家已经签署了提升现有的软件,以符合明年将要落实的消费税。股阳深信今年的业绩有望再创新高。IFCAMSC 也会每年向顾客征收18%软件价值的维修费(这将是公司未来固定收入)。而管理层也看好接下来将继续受惠于GST政策,因将会有更多企业在GST实行前提升其会计系统。


4.截至2014年3月31日,IFCAMSC是一家debt free 公司,并有现金RM28.38M,或每股6.31sen



IFCAMSC也刚刚在上星期公布了2014年第二季的业绩报告。




2014年第二季度的盈利就取得了RM3M, EPS: 0.67sen, 单单第二季的盈利就差不多相等于2012年的一整年盈利及超越了2013年一整年的盈利!2014年第二季的业绩成长主要归功于中国市场取得较好的软件销售业绩及本地软件升级销售以符合明年即将推行的消费税。


看看IFCAMSC 的图表:



股阳共勉之
24/8/2014
11:00am




1 comment:

  1. Good analysis, posted one day before Maybank come out research, welcome done

    A GST play, to benefit from the property industry spanning upgrades for GST.

    Massive jump in earnings expected; IFCA is ready to reward shareholders.

    We value IFCA at MYR0.42, based on 14.5x FY15 PER. The stock is an under-researched gem.

    What’s New
    IFCA is a business software solution company specializing in the property industry. It has a monopoly-like business model with 70% market share in the Malaysian property software industry.

    IFCA is the biggest beneficiary of GST implementation in the property sector. It has chalked up higher sales contracts in 1H14 of MYR42.1m at its Malaysia operation alone (2013: MYR38.9m) on upgrades in IT systems by the developers. As only 10% of its existing clients have upgraded/are upgrading their software for GST implementation, we see enormous potential for IFCA.

    IFCA is also reaping the fruit from its aggressive expansion in China over the past ten years. Its China operation is expected to record strong double-digit growth in sales/earnings; it will likely overtake its Malaysian business as the key earnings driver by 2016-17. The company is ready to reward shareholders with dividends/free warrants. It also plans to transfer to the Main Market.

    What’s Our View
    Based on our back-of-the envelope calculation, we project a strong 406% growth in FY14 net profit to MYR8.8m, and a 50% growth in FY15 to MYR13.1m. These are premised on strong contract sales and improving net margins. As at June 2014, balance sheet was clean with a net cash of MYR30m or 6.7sen/sh.

    Pegging it to 14.5x PER (10% discount to the average of peers of 16.1x), we derive a fair value of MYR0.42 for IFCA.

    Source: Maybank Research - 25 Aug 2014

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